The Twitter Accounts Stock-Market Investors Need To Follow In 2017 2010 Real Estate Investment Outlook and Perspective

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2010 Real Estate Investment Outlook and Perspective

What’s next for real estate?

For most people, real estate remains an important part of their equity. Despite the stock market recovery, the average American household’s net worth has fallen by about 25% due to falling real estate and investment asset values.

Overview of Market Trends – Spotlight on Boston

While still reeling from continued upheaval in the core employment sectors of financial services, insurance and real estate (FIRE), there are signs of stability in and around major metropolitan areas such as Boston. Although the employment situation remains bleak, the Boston Statistical Area (MSA) saw the largest increase in real estate values ​​in 2009, according to the recently released Zillow Real Estate Market Reports.

Even with the big boost, helped by the federal government’s first-time homebuyer loans and continued low mortgage interest rates, there remain nearly 25% of homes that are “upside down” with outstanding mortgages.

Unemployment remains high as companies continue to announce layoffs or delay hiring. With the expected wave of creative mortgage products such as Alt-A loans, interest-only loans and adjustable-rate mortgages with payment options, the discount to higher rates puts pressure on homeowners who can’t refinance because they’re out of work or value, there will likely be an increase in the number of foreclosures.

Major metropolitan areas in the U.S. likely won’t see a real estate boom until 2020, according to a study published by HousingPredictor.com. With more than 7 million unemployed and another 20 million on the underemployment list, it could be in 2017 or 2020. when these workers are absorbed. And the sale of real estate depends on those who have a job.

Booms in the real estate market typically occurred in seven- to ten-year cycles, with some external factor triggering a crisis that burst the bubble. The current situation is unlikely to be different.

Implications for investors

It is expected that in 2010 the level of vacant apartments will increase to approximately 7-10%. The continued decline in job security is hampering family formation as people may delay marriage or move back in with parents or relatives or double up with friends.

As foreclosures increase, there will likely be more demand for replacement homes, so the vacancy rate may decrease. And as workers try to keep their options moving in search of employment, rental demand is likely to increase as well. The caveat is that there is also likely to be a range of supply options that will put pressure on rents. And as a result of continued poor economic conditions, landlords can expect tenants’ creditworthiness to deteriorate.

Apartments will have to compete with the growing supply of single-family homes. Currently, the number of single-family homes for rent is up nearly 10%, compared to the long-term average of 4.5%. And a change in mortgage servicer Fannie Mae’s policy will no longer evict tenants living in foreclosed homes or apartments. This would likely mean that the largest single-family rental landlord in the US would be a quasi-governmental entity.

Sales volume in the apartment building market is far from over and likely to continue. Potential buyers continue to wait for stabilization of prices. Limit rates will continue to move upwards by 1-2%, closer to the limit rates of 2002 (8.2%), which will directly contribute to price reductions in the range of another 10% to 20%.

And given tighter underwriting criteria, such as higher down payment requirements, the number of investors able to purchase properties is likely to be limited. But those investors with capital and credit will have opportunities to buy when prices stabilize.

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