What Is The Value Of A Share Of At&T Stock There Is No Such Thing As "Good" Stock

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There Is No Such Thing As "Good" Stock

How many brokers (including yours) have called to tell you a story about a “good” stock? One that works well in tough times and always pays dividends.

Before cashing in on this puppy (soon to be a dog), it would be wise to look at the price history. Ask a financial planner (or whatever they call themselves) to show you a 10-year history of price action.

A chart at a glance will tell you more than all the analysis that can be dumped in your lap. Of course, if it’s a relatively new release, the story will be great. Don’t buy the story, and look at the chart. About 90% of IPOs lose money over time.

Years ago, widows and orphans knew that one of the greatest stocks of all time was AT&T. Millions of shares were purchased between $45 and $60 per share. It is now trading at $25.

Another stock that every broker recommended to little old ladies with blue hair was US Steel. Just have to have this one. Increased from $20 to $190. Did you buy and hold this one when it fell to $33 today?

Another recent owner of Buy N is Microsoft. Went from almost nothing to about $60 and now trades in the twenties.

There is no stock that has not seen such action. Wise old man from Omaha, Warren Buffett, saw his stock drop 50%. It happens to the best of them.

In all my years of trading and investing, I have never seen a stock that pays good dividends and grows every year. It may be there, but the chances of the average investor ever finding it are slim to none.

As a trader for many decades, I have come to believe that it is best to trade indices and the long-term market. Your broker or financial planner will tell you that’s impossible. This is because they have not studied their profession.

Momentum trading with the 200-day moving average is so simple and effective that anyone over the age of 5 (maybe less) can do it.

There is no secret. You can do it. Follow the direction of the 200-day moving average. When it appears, it’s a buy signal for the market index you’re following. If it turns down, sell and go cash or bearish. Ignore the moving average penetration, just the direction.

There is a basic truth about all stocks and indices: they all go up and they all go down. Up is good; down is bad. YOU can know the difference and be in cash when the crash happens.

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